Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.000693 0.000793 0.000900 0.001022 0.001156 0.001299 0.001463
2025-02-16 0.000526 0.000663 0.000820 0.001010 0.001232 0.001483 0.001786
2025-02-23 0.000446 0.000601 0.000786 0.001019 0.001304 0.001636 0.002049
2025-03-02 0.000386 0.000551 0.000757 0.001027 0.001367 0.001775 0.002297
2025-03-09 0.000324 0.000490 0.000705 0.000998 0.001377 0.001846 0.002459
2025-03-16 0.000273 0.000437 0.000658 0.000968 0.001382 0.001905 0.002603
2025-03-23 0.000241 0.000405 0.000635 0.000966 0.001419 0.002003 0.002797
2025-03-30 0.000214 0.000378 0.000614 0.000965 0.001456 0.002100 0.002990
2025-04-06 0.000188 0.000349 0.000589 0.000955 0.001478 0.002176 0.003156
2025-04-13 0.000164 0.000320 0.000560 0.000936 0.001485 0.002232 0.003294
2025-04-20 0.000152 0.000310 0.000559 0.000958 0.001549 0.002364 0.003538
2025-04-27 0.000140 0.000297 0.000554 0.000971 0.001601 0.002482 0.003763
2025-05-04 0.000122 0.000274 0.000528 0.000954 0.001609 0.002538 0.003908
2025-05-11 0.000106 0.000251 0.000502 0.000934 0.001611 0.002586 0.004042
2025-05-18 0.000097 0.000241 0.000497 0.000945 0.001660 0.002701 0.004272
2025-05-25 0.000089 0.000230 0.000489 0.000952 0.001701 0.002806 0.004489
2025-06-01 0.000076 0.000209 0.000462 0.000924 0.001688 0.002830 0.004590
2025-06-08 0.000065 0.000189 0.000435 0.000897 0.001672 0.002849 0.004682
2025-06-15 0.000058 0.000179 0.000425 0.000895 0.001697 0.002929 0.004865
2025-06-22 0.000053 0.000170 0.000415 0.000894 0.001724 0.003011 0.005052
2025-06-29 0.000046 0.000158 0.000401 0.000884 0.001735 0.003070 0.005206
2025-07-06 0.000040 0.000146 0.000383 0.000867 0.001732 0.003106 0.005324
2025-07-13 0.000038 0.000143 0.000385 0.000887 0.001792 0.003242 0.005597